There are four rounds left in the 2015 Formula 1 World Championship, but Lewis Hamilton could have his second consecutive title all wrapped up this weekend. So DON’T MISS the United States Grand Prix!
The Circuit of the Americas holds no secrets for the Mercedes driver, who won in Texas twice in three races, since the track’s inauguration in 2012. Incidentally, Hamilton is also the only Formula 1 driver active or retired to have won the United States GP at two different venues, after he won the last GP held at Indianapolis in 2007, his rookie year. It’s safe to say the US suits the Brit.
Second in the standings, Sebastian Vettel also loves the Circuit of the Americas. He won there in 2013, starting from pole, and will certainly hope for a repeat. The Ferrari driver is trailing Hamilton by 66 points. Math-wise, it’s not looking good for the German: if Hamilton walks away from the US Grand Prix with a 75 points lead, it’s all over. The most likely scenario for Lewis Hamilton to be crowned World Champion is if he wins and Vettel fails to finish 2nd. I say it’s the most likely because a Mercedes one-two with Hamilton 1st and Nico Rosberg 2nd is a very good bet. This happened here last year and it has also happened in six races this year!
What about Rosberg‘s odds, you ask? Well, his chances of becoming the second Formula 1 driver to emulate his father’s World Championship success are slim to none this year. A brief history lesson: Nico’s dad, Keke Rosberg – also known as the original Flying Finn – was World Champion in 1982; Graham Hill was World Champion in 1962 and 1968, while son Damon Hill won the crown in 1996. As for Nico Rosberg – 3rd in the standings, trailing his teammate by 73 points – first of all he needs to finish ahead of teammate Hamilton in Texas. Finishing 2nd with Hamilton 3rd would keep Rosberg in the fight, but just barely; while a Rosberg win coupled with Hamilton grabbing 2nd would put the German 66 points behind, with a maximum of 75 points to be won. Of course, there are many more scenarios, but they all involve Hamilton finishing lower than 3rd. Neither Vettel nor Rosberg dare hold such high hopes, as the reigning World Champion has only missed out on the podium twice this year. It was this very consistency that made the difference.
So far, the United States GP has been the venue where the championship was wrapped up on four occasions: 1959 – Jack Brabham, 1970 – Jochen Rindt, 1974 – Emerson Fittipaldi, 1977 – Niki Lauda. Should we expect Lewis Hamilton to become the fifth man crowned World Champion at the US Grand Prix, this Sunday? Most definitely, even though the Mercedes driver – who is also a BBC Sport columnist – stated that he’s not in a hurry to win the title and “won’t be working out title permutations”. Sure, maybe he’s not going to do the math, but don’t tell me that he’s not aware of what needs to happen for him to become World Champion for the third time in his career, because I just won’t buy that.